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Novartis Lifts Its 2026 Profit Outlook as Kisqali, Scemblix and Leqvio Power 29% Growth in Priority Brands

Novartis raised its 2026 guidance for core operating income to low double-digit growth from a low single-digit decline, after third-quarter core earnings per share of $2.46 beat forecasts of $2.28. Sales rose 4% in constant currency to $14.5 billion, priority brands grew 29% led by Kisqali, Scemblix and Leqvio, and a $1.9 billion impairment cut reported profit.

By Prathista Lazar · Author28 October 2026New
Novartis Lifts Its 2026 Profit Outlook as Kisqali, Scemblix and Leqvio Power 29% Growth in Priority Brands

Novartis has raised its profit outlook for the year, as strong demand for its newer medicines, particularly in cancer and cardiovascular disease, more than offset pressure on older drugs facing generic competition.

The Swiss drugmaker reported core earnings per share of $2.46 for the third quarter, up 8% and ahead of analysts' forecast of $2.28, according to Investing.com on Tuesday, October 27. Net sales rose 4% in constant currency to $14.5 billion, slightly below the $14.6 billion analysts expected.

Core operating income rose 10% to $6 billion, and the core operating margin improved by two percentage points to 41.6%.

Novartis shares rose 1.7% in European trading on Tuesday, according to Reuters.

A sharply better outlook

The most significant change was to Novartis's guidance for the full year. The company now expects core operating income to grow by a low double-digit percentage in 2026, compared with its previous forecast of a low single-digit decline.

Net sales guidance was maintained at low single-digit growth. For the second half, Novartis expects net sales to grow by a mid- to high-single-digit percentage and core operating income by a high single- to low double-digit percentage.

The company expects its fourth-quarter core margin to decline from the third quarter because of seasonal spending, higher royalties and lower other income related to biosimilar competition for its asthma drug Xolair.

Priority brands drive growth

"We delivered strong growth in the quarter driven by our priority brands and launches," said chief executive Vas Narasimhan. Priority brands, the newer medicines on which Novartis is focusing its growth, rose 29% in constant currency.

Kisqali, a treatment for breast cancer, grew 37%. Scemblix, for chronic myeloid leukaemia, rose 67%. Leqvio, a cholesterol-lowering therapy given twice a year, increased 63%. Kesimpta, for multiple sclerosis, grew 22%, and Pluvicto, a radioligand therapy for prostate cancer, rose 20%. Cosentyx, for psoriasis and other inflammatory conditions, grew 9%.

Novartis also cited a strong launch for Rhapsido, raising its peak sales guidance for the drug to more than $4 billion across chronic spontaneous urticaria and chronic inducible urticaria, two forms of chronic hives.

The impairment

Reported operating income fell 61% to $1.2 billion, and net income declined 71% to $1.2 billion, mainly because of a $1.9 billion partial impairment related to del-desiran, an experimental medicine. Impairments reflect a reduction in the expected value of a drug or asset, often because of clinical trial results, regulatory issues or changed commercial prospects.

Free cash flow was $5.1 billion in the quarter and $14 billion for the first nine months.

A focused pharmaceutical company

Novartis has transformed itself in recent years into a focused innovative medicines company. It spun off its generic drugs business, Sandoz, in 2023 and has concentrated on four therapeutic areas: cardiovascular, renal and metabolic diseases; immunology; neuroscience; and oncology.

The company has also invested heavily in new technology platforms, including radioligand therapy, which delivers radiation directly to cancer cells, and RNA-based medicines such as Leqvio.

The generic challenge

Like other large drugmakers, Novartis faces the loss of patent protection on several older products, which opens them to competition from generics and biosimilars. Growth in priority brands is essential to offset those declines. The company's strong results suggest that its newer medicines are gaining ground fast enough to support profit growth.

“We delivered strong growth in the quarter driven by our priority brands and launches.”
— Vas Narasimhan, CEO, Novartis

US drug pricing policy is another factor. The Trump administration has pressed drugmakers to lower prices, and new rules allowing Medicare to negotiate prices for some drugs are affecting the industry.

What it means for India

Novartis has long-standing operations in India, including a large global capability centre in Hyderabad that supports research, development, data science and business operations worldwide. The company has also partnered with Indian firms on the distribution of some of its established brands.

For India's pharmaceutical industry, Novartis's results highlight two trends: the growing importance of innovative medicines in global pharma, and the opportunities that arise for generic and biosimilar makers, including Indian companies, as patents on older drugs expire.

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Access to medicines

The prices of innovative medicines remain a challenge for patients in many countries, including India. Pharmaceutical companies have adopted various access programmes, including tiered pricing and partnerships with local manufacturers, to make treatments available in lower-income markets. How Novartis extends access to its newer cancer and cardiovascular medicines in countries such as India will be closely watched by health advocates.

The pipeline

Novartis's growth depends not only on its current priority brands but on its pipeline of experimental medicines. The company has invested in several technology platforms, including radioligand therapies, gene therapies and RNA-based medicines, and has made acquisitions to strengthen its pipeline in areas such as neuroscience and cardiovascular disease.

Clinical trial results in the coming months will be important for investors, as successful late-stage trials can significantly increase the expected value of experimental drugs, while failures can lead to impairments such as the one recorded on del-desiran this quarter.

Kisqali's rise

Kisqali has become one of Novartis's most important medicines. The drug, a CDK4/6 inhibitor used with hormone therapy to treat certain types of breast cancer, has gained market share after clinical trials showed benefits in early-stage as well as advanced disease. Its 37% growth in the quarter reflects expanding use and approvals in additional patient populations.

The cash machine

Novartis's free cash flow of $14 billion for the first nine months of the year gives it significant flexibility to invest in research, pursue acquisitions and return cash to shareholders. Large pharmaceutical companies have been active acquirers of biotech companies with promising experimental drugs, as they seek to replenish pipelines ahead of patent expiries on their existing products. Novartis has made several such acquisitions in recent years.

What comes next

Novartis will need to sustain the growth of its priority brands and advance its pipeline to deliver on its raised guidance. Investors will watch upcoming clinical trial results and regulatory decisions, as well as the impact of biosimilar competition and US pricing policy. Health systems and patients will also be watching how pricing negotiations in the United States and Europe affect the availability and cost of the company's newest medicines. Access to innovative treatments in emerging markets, including India, will remain an important part of the debate over the industry's role in global health.

TagsNovartisQ3 resultspharmaceuticalsVas NarasimhanKisqalibreast cancerScemblixLeqvioKesimptaPluvictoCosentyxRhapsidobiosimilarsdrug pricingpharma stocksSwiss stocksIndian pharmahealthcareinnovative medicinesinvestors

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